Estate Planning – Aged Care

The right way to give your kids money (and 2 very wrong ways)

It’s the question that 80 per cent of financial adviser Scott Quinlan’s older clients ask him at their first meeting. And if they don’t mention it, he does.

“They ask, ‘How much can we give to the kids to help them into their first home?’” says Quinlan, the co-founder of Brisbane-based Solace Financial. Their second question, he says, is “How do we structure it so that we don’t run out of money before pine box day?”

The consequences of getting it wrong can be costly. If you give too little, you risk making your children struggle more than they need and reduce your overall family wealth. If you give too much, even if you’re wealthy, you could struggle to fund your retirement and even be forced to sell your home.

But if you get it right, it’s a win-win.

“It’s a deeply personal issue, and the approach depends on factors, like the level of wealth, the children’s ages and the children’s own financial position,” says Caitlin Laffey, a partner at high net wealth adviser Koda Capital. The key is “not giving too much too early so that you are not able to live the lifestyle that you intend to live yourselves”, she says.

How that might play out is illustrated by modelling done by Laffey’s colleague, James Hawthorne.

The wrong way No. 1: Giving away your spending money

Hawthorne crunched the numbers to show what can go wrong when a couple with $10 million in total assets – $6 million in their home and $4 million mostly in their superannuation – give $1 million to each of their two children.

The hypothetical couple is recently retired and has income of about $200,000 a year from their super. That amount represents 2 per cent of their total assets each year so they feel they can afford to give 20 per cent away as an early inheritance.

The graph above shows what happens if they were to take $2 million from their super as a lump sum and give it to their children. If they keep spending $200,000 a year, their money runs out in less than 14 years.

The problem is that they took the money from their income-generating assets.

They still have a decent pool of money, but they will be forced to sell their home or drastically reduce their spending to cover that gift to their children.

Hawthorne uses the chart as a lesson to show clients how unplanned giving can lead to unplanned consequences.

“It’s a really crude example, but the parents are just being too generous,” Hawthorne says. “They are not looking after themselves first. A lot of the time it’s our job to say to very generous parents like these: Stop. Just make sure that you can continue to live the way that you deserve to live.”

Hawthorne says he would advise the clients in this situation to consider downsizing their home soon after or around the time they give the money.

Alternatively, the parents could consider initially giving a smaller amount or (if they have multiple children) giving one their share of the money before the others.

“You do not want to eat into your income assets too early,” Hawthorne says.

That’s a point echoed by family office adviser Lipman Burgon & Partners’ Jason Rademan, who provided his own modelling for another big risk that we’ll get to later.

“If there is any risk that a proposed gift could compromise the parents’ future ability to meet their own living expenses, it often makes sense to stage the assistance in several tranches rather than making one large, irreversible payment,” he says. “That way, parents can review their position over time and adjust the level of support if markets or personal circumstances change.”

Another solution might be to structure such a gift at least partly as an interest-paying loan.

How a loan instead of a gift might solve the problem

The main advantage of loaning the money – even if it is a no-interest loan – instead of gifting it comes down to asset protection.

When you make a loan, you still have ultimate control of the money. That means that should anyone make a claim against your child’s assets, it won’t be counted as belonging to them. This is particularly relevant in the case of a divorce or partnership breakdown but also applies to business dealings.

“When you structure support as a gift without conditions, you forfeit any ability to protect that capital,” says Paul Green, director at Vincents Private Wealth.

Loans are also assets of the estate, which is useful if your children don’t need help at the same time, Solace Financial’s Quinlan says.

“If the kids are different ages, they have different needs,” he says.

“Say Johnny is 25 and ready to buy his first home, but Mary is 17, and she might be less mature, and might not buy a home until she’s 30.

“So we do it as a loan, which helps to equalise the will. If Mum and Dad pass away, then that debt forms part of the will – Johnny has to repay his loan or it’s forgiven out of the estate and Mary isn’t penalised.”

Sometimes, it can make sense to give it as a gift outright, Quinlan adds. That can be particularly beneficial if you are planning to access the Centrelink age pension at some stage because after five years, loans are not counted in the means test.

Some families view wealth from a broader, multi-generation perspective. Quinlan gives the example of a client whose child could afford to buy an $800,000 home, but would prefer a $1.4 million home.

If the child were to buy the $800,000 home and then, a few years later when their cashflow was greater, upgrade to the $1.4 million home, Green says they would pay at extra $125,000 in stamp duty and legal fees. That’s a net cost to the family’s total wealth. But if the child was given or lent that extra $600,000, the family is $125,000 wealthier.

“Everyone sees that the entire family is much better off … the children are on their way and there’s plenty of blue sky ahead of them.”

How charging interest can help you and the kids

If you don’t have the capacity to give the full amount, then an interest-bearing loan can also result in a win for parents and children.

If you don’t look at wealth across the generations, and focus exclusively on the needs of the parents, a responsible financial adviser would normally recommend that anything from 30 to 40 per cent of their wealth should be allocated to fixed income.

Assuming a couple had $3 million or $4 million, that could amount to about $1 million in low-growth, income-producing assets, Green from Vincents says.

If the parents loaned that money to their children – making it the fixed interest part of their portfolio – that could substantially improve the wealth of the whole family because it will transform an income asset for the parents into a growth asset (property) for the children meaning both benefit over time.

If the interest rate charged was set at the midpoint between what the children would have to pay a bank and what the parents could get on a term deposit, the win-win is obvious.

Another way to handle that kind of help could be to deposit money in your child’s home loan offset account.

If a term deposit was paying 4 per cent interest and your child was paying 6 per cent interest on their home loan, some parents might ask to be paid 5 per cent for parking their money in the offset account, Quinlan says.

“The kids aren’t paying as much interest on their loan because it’s sitting in the offset and mum and dad are getting a better interest rate than what they would on their term deposit.”

Or you could capitalise the interest, says Green – meaning the interest would be added to the loan and not repaid until the asset was sold or the parents died.

This strategy could be useful when a couple has more than one child. The other children who did not get the loan would not lose out financially as the loan amount, with the added interest included, could be deducted from the child’s share of the parents’ estate.

In all the above cases, proper documentation would mean the parents could get access to the capital if they needed it. Which brings us to the second big mistake parents can make: not preparing for a market crash.

The wrong way No. 2: Not preparing for sequencing risk

One of the big risks when you move from a salary to living off your savings is sequencing risk. That’s the term for the risk of a market crash in any given year.

If a crash happens early on in retirement that can significantly reduce the capital you have to generate income in the following year. Modelling from Allianz shows that a 10 per cent drop in the value of your investments in one year means you need to generate 11.1 per cent the next year to recover the lost value.

Lipman Burgon’s Rademan gives the following scenarios to show what happens when a couple with $8 million in total assets wants to give $500,000 to each of their two children.

The modelling assumes their primary residence is worth $4 million, they have an investment property worth $1 million with a net yield of 2 per cent and $3 million combined in superannuation pensions. Their annual living expenses are $120,000 (indexed at 3 per cent inflation).

If they don’t give anything to their children, after adjusting for inflation their net investible assets of $4 million – their super and their investment property – will be worth more than the $4 million they started with in real terms even if they live to 99. So that’s a big inheritance for their children, especially when you add back in their house.

If they withdraw $1 million between them from their super when they retire at 67 and give it to their children, assuming growth of 4 per cent, the Lipman Burgon modelling shows they remain able to fund their living expenses.

But when that is stress tested with a 40 per cent market crash in the second year of retirement, the couple’s super will run out at 95, meaning they have a cash shortfall that the investment property cannot make up.

“Good giving tends to come from assets that are truly surplus to the parents’ long-term needs and is structured with an eye to sequencing risk and flexibility, rather than simply dipping into whichever pot of money is easiest to access at the time,” Rademan says.

On the other hand, if they sold their investment property at the beginning rather than took the money out of their super, they will always have income surplus to their requirements and can still fully fund their lifestyle even at 99.

Don’t be afraid to attach strings to any loan or gift

If your children are serious about building wealth, they won’t resent any conditions you attach to the loan – like not using it to buy business class flights for a holiday, or even matching the interest rate to movements in the cash rate – says Green.

While the “strings” you add might not be enforceable in court, Green says in his experience it rarely comes to that.

“Almost exclusively kids are just eternally grateful, and they understand the culture in which the money’s being lent, and they generally buy into it.

“If they understand the bigger picture, they’re likely to understand that even from a completely self-interested view, if they don’t toe the line somewhat, there might not be as much coming out down the track.”

Green will show a child – in their late 20s or early 30s – modelling that shows if they accept the money lent with whatever strings attached that “their superannuation at the end of their life is going to be worth half a million dollars more in today’s dollars and that they’ll pay off their house after 15 years”, they are more than happy to accept the strings.

Win-win.

The right way to give your kids money (and 2 very wrong ways)2026-01-08T11:14:25+11:00

What it takes to be in Australia’s top 1 per cent

If you earn a total income of $375,378 a year or higher, congratulations; you are in Australia’s top 1 per cent of taxpayers.

And if your total household gross income is above $531,652, your household earns more than 99 per cent of Australian households.

By contrast, the median Australian taxpayer earns $55,619, while the median household gross income is $92,856, and for the lowest 10 per cent, those figures are just $11,036 and $26,181, respectively.

Among the 1 per cent, there’s been a sharp increase in income over five years. The comparable figures in 2019-20 to be considered a 1 per cent-er were total income of $315,770 and household income of $460,028, which amounts to a rise of 19 per cent and 16 per cent, respectively.

These figures – derived from Australian Taxation Office and Australian Bureau of Statistics data by the Grattan Institute – provide one snapshot of wealth in Australia.

Grattan published the material ahead of Tuesday’s federal budget to help contextualise debates about the budget winners and losers, providing additional insight into what Australians earn and own.

Earnings discrepancies

If you’re thinking the income figures – and especially the average – seem lower that the figure you’ve typically seen quoted, you’d be right.

The most commonly quoted earnings figure is average full-time earnings (currently $104,765 a year), but this figure has limitations, such as excluding part-time workers.

It’s the kind of figure that leads us to think Australians are better off than they actually are.

Grattan’s housing and economic security program director Brendan Coates, deputy director Joey Moloney and associate Matthew Bowes say average full-time earnings is “not a good guide to the typical Australian’s income”.

“More than three-quarters of Australian workers earn less than the average full-time wage of $104,765 a year.”

Instead, considering the median is a more instructive measure. On this basis, the median full-time worker earns $90,416, a figure that drops to $67,786 when part-time workers are accounted for.

Location matters

To some extent, what you earn is a function of where you live.

Western Australia has the highest percentage of taxpayers in the top 45 per cent tax bracket – those who earn more than $190,000 – at 5.5 per cent. NSW and the ACT are not far behind, lagged by Victoria and Queensland.

But even in high-wage Sydney, those in the top tax bracket are an elite class; just 7 per cent of Sydneysiders earn an income that puts them in the top tax bracket, Grattan’s analysis shows.

Net wealth

Wealth isn’t solely a function of income. Debt has a big role to play, as do other assets such as your home, superannuation and investments.

By considering all of these factors, Grattan has calculated how much you need in total household net wealth to be considered in the top 1 per cent in Australia.

And not surprisingly it varies by age. Those between 25 and 40 require net wealth of $3.1 million to be in the top 1 per cent, while for those aged 41 to 64, that figure jumps to $7.7 million.

Households of over 65s have the highest net wealth – with the top 1 per cent of households controlling over $10.9 million each. This makes sense, given they’ve had more time to accumulate their wealth.

By contrast, the bottom 25 per cent of households have total net wealth of $78,000 for those aged 25 to 40, $332,000 for those aged 41-64 and $433,000 for those aged 65 and over.

Super and home equity

One of the questions people frequently ask about their super balance is how it compares to others their age.

Whether you’re tracking for a $5 million, $2 million or $500,000 retirement, where does your super rank in comparison to your friends and neighbours?

Super balances are another metric where age plays a significant role. The longer you’ve worked since 1992 – when employer contributions became compulsory under the super guarantee – the more you’ve received, and the more time that money has been invested.

Despite not having compulsory super their entire working lives, the 65+ cohort still has the highest balances across the age cohorts among the 1 per cent – with $2 million for individuals and $3.3 million for households – possibly as a result of moving assets into the lower tax super environment as they reach retirement.

But many in this cohort also have no super – the median balance for the 65+ age group is actually $0 – which can be attributed to the older end of this cohort having missed out on the super guarantee, and many older women spending little, if any, time in paid employment.

To have a super balance among the top 1 per cent if you’re 41 to 64, you’ll need $1.4 million as an individual or $2 million as a household, while a much lower balance of $293,000 for an individual or $473,000 as a household will get you there if you’re aged 25 to 40.

It’s a similar story for home equity, with those 41 and over – who typically bought their homes earlier and less expensively – having ridden successive property booms and paid down their mortgages significantly.

To be in the top 1 per cent for home equity, over 65s need equity of $3 million in their homes, while for 41 to 64-year-olds it’s $2.8 million and for those aged 25 to 40 it’s $1.3 million.

The overall picture

As shown above, what you need to rank in the top 1 per cent by all measures varies according to your age.

Regardless of your age, you need $375,378 in individual income, $531,652 in household income, but in terms of net wealth, super and home equity, the older you are, the more you need to maintain poll position.

What it takes to be in Australia’s top 1 per cent2025-04-11T09:32:12+10:00

Financial Planning Message – December 2024

Following two remarkable years of global equity returns, it is understandable to approach 2025 with degree

of trepidation.

As the curtain draws on 2024, we are heading into 2025 with the same concerns we had at the start of 2024,
namely high interest rates, inflation and uncertainty/ geopolitical risks.

  • All eyes are on the sluggish Chinese economy and consumer sentiment, more importantly how the government stimulus measures will play out to revitalise the real estate sector, boost liquidity and increase demand to cater for overproduction. The potential of increased tariffs under the Trump administration will further exacerbate these challenges.
  •  2024 was the year of elections, more than 60 countries went to the polls, ( 50% of the world’s population ), this in turn created opportunity for the ‘improbable becoming possible’.
  •  Equity markets have largely navigated through the volatility of the bond market, however it is likely that the significant spike in yields going forward will weigh on equity valuations.
  • An optimistic outlook for the US – the base case is that the US ( as the main driver of financial markets ) is expected to progress to a ‘soft landing’ which is supported by further easing of interest rates, increased corporate earnings due to lower corporate tax, further de regulation of the financial sector and an increased investment in technologies leading to improved productivity.
  •  The Australian Economy faces many challenges in 2025. The economic risks in China, being our key trading partner, will impact adversely and become more evident as we progress into 2025. These challenges will be further compounded by high inflation from the geopolitical environment, higher government spending / deficits, inequality and no productivity for almost a decade will weigh on the RBA in keeping interest rates higher for longer.
  • A recent Mckinsey report on the Australian economy notes that our business investment is now at recession level, our productivity growth is at 30th place out of 35 developed countries, living standards are declining and are at a national emergency level. Our GDP growth now is the weakest since the 1990’s recession ( excluding Covid-19 ).

Federal Government spending hit 12.3% of Nominal GDP in September 2024.

The ‘Golden goose’ that produced our fair and prosperous society is gasping for air – (Mckinsey)

On balance, it appears there will be significant headwinds for the Australian households and the economy in
general as we enter 2025.

 

Accordingly, the festive season is a great time to enjoy a break but also make time to reflect on the past, take control of the present and ‘sow the seeds’ of success for tomorrow.

Some practical steps to align your long term strategy may include :-

  • Review Superannuation – Multiple funds or funds with high costs and low performance compromise your long term / retirement plans.
  • Review Non Super Investments – Re-evaluate performance and tax effectiveness, also rebalance / diversify.
  • Review cashflows and eliminate unnecessary lifestyle costs in light of the prevailing environment.
  • Let’s not forget managing your tax position, this is always relevant be it during your working life, in retirement (with respect to investments) or as part of your estate plan.
  • Make incremental savings ‘dollar cost average’ as opposed to taking a significant position when
    investing.
  • Diversification and history are our best friends, reflect and actively rebalance asset allocations.
  • Consider Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) given the attractive investment returns.
  • Confirm borrowing / refinancing options well before due dates and explore potential savings across
    relevant lenders – competition appears to be intensifying across the major lenders.
  • Insurance is always important, potentially critical during extreme business cycles as are likely to
    unfold in 2025. It is not desirable to execute forced sales at depressed values.
  • Those running a business – Document a business plan, complete a business valuation and be aware
    of the Small Business Capital Gains Tax concessions (SBCGT ).
  • Explore and utilise First Home Incentives – Including The First Home Super Saver Scheme ( FHSS ).
  • With the festive season upon us, I would like to take a moment to express my sincere gratitude to all our
    clients and associates, thank you for placing trust in AMCO.

In January 2025 AMCO celebrates 28 years since inception. The practice was founded on the vision of creating a long-term wealth management firm that enlarges and enriches the lives of those with whom we interact.

We are aware of the challenges you are facing during these uncertain times and are there to advise and navigate the environment with professional care.

From the team at AMCO, we wish you and your family good health, peace of mind and prosperity in the year ahead.

 

Merry Christmas.

Danny D. Mazevski
Chartered Tax & Financial Adviser
FIPA CTA FTMA MBA (Un.NSW/SYD) Dip.FS JP

 

Any advice in this document is of a general nature only and has not been tailored to your personal circumstances.
Please seek personal financial and or tax advice prior to acting on this information

Financial Planning Message – December 20242025-01-07T16:20:03+11:00

RBA change is coming, like it or not

More people, more input, more cooks in the kitchen. That’s ultimately the price the Reserve Bank of Australia will pay for a couple of years of bad or miscalculated calls, made in response to the pandemic.

Ironically, the review was conceived in the pre-COVID days when the RBA was criticised because inflation was running below its 2 to 3 per cent target range. All the attention is on what has happened since.

When money was flooding into the financial system and the economy, it is now clear the RBA board was too slow to apply the handbrake. The result is the highest level of inflation since the 1990s and an unprecedented 10 straight rate rises that were never going to be popular with ordinary Australians or politicians. No one seems to care that the unemployment rate is around its lowest level in nearly 50 years.

Right or wrong RBA governor Philip Lowe wears the blame. He will be all over the newspapers and nightly television news bulletins, even though markets (equities, bonds, currency) barely blinked. Mr Market saw the review coming, and now says the changes are some way off.

From the market’s perspective, next month’s budget is more material. Treasurer Jim Chalmers needs to set up the books for the next few years, which means finding more money. The economy is finely poised: it would be tempting to throw money around to ease cost of living pressures, although money’s tight and the inflation doesn’t need stoking.

In the meantime, old-head RBA watchers said it was a significant day. The fact that the central bank, which has such a great impact on Australians’ daily life, was subject to such scrutiny made it a historic day.

Lowe and the RBA will be hauled over the coals for what happened a few years ago, even though it was just as much the government stoking the fire that continues to burn today. The critics argue he should be accountable for the combination of low rates, forward guidance, yield curve control, quantitative easing and the term funding facility, which combined to whipsaw the economy and may yet cause a recession.

Of course, Lowe’s monetary policy is just one tool.

Once the commotion passes, we should all still be worried about the rising cost of rent and energy and how both can be addressed. The review doesn’t change that.

The review prompted plenty of thinking about the RBA, its corporate governance, board composition and decision-making. It recognised that in more normal times, the RBA had done well to keep inflation around the midpoint of its 2 to 3 per cent range for the past 30 years.

However, it is the past few years, a wartime for central bankers when no one escaped with a goldilocks path out the other side, that will now shape the direction of Australia’s monetary policy system.

What’s the answer to it all? Get more people involved in the decision-making. A specialist monetary policy board, fewer board meetings and more outsiders sitting around the table.

Reading between the lines, there seemed to be concern about how insular the RBA either is, or has become. Lowe is a perfect example; he’s got a great temperament for the governor’s job, is clearly smart and well regarded by colleagues and peers globally, but he is an RBA lifer and ingrained in current-day practice.

The creation of a new nine-person Monetary Policy Board, widely tipped by pundits, is about getting more rigorous thinking into rates decisions.

The nine people would include the RBA governor, deputy governor, Treasury secretary and six outsiders. The review recommends that ‘‘external members should be able to make a significant contribution to monetary policy setting through expertise in areas such as open economy macroeconomics, the financial system, labour markets, or the supply side of the economy, and in the context of decision-making under uncertainty’’.

So, this specific rate-setting board should mean more challenge and debate to the house view, which appears to have become more entrenched. At the same time the review calls for RBA’s operatives to spend more time with board members, making it a bit of an each-way bet but a good use of what is a big and expensive research team. (The need to spare a day a week or so in the RBA’s offices surely tilts the external board positions towards academics.)

The undertones were that the board wasn’t functioning properly, either because it didn’t have the right people or the right information. Lowe defended his board at a press conference yesterday, saying discussion around the boardroom table was robust and not dominated by himself.

It’s all well and good to have more people in the room on rates decision day, but it does not mean the board will function more efficiently or come to better decisions.

But big boards do not necessarily mean better outcomes. Corporate Australia is littered with poor boards and ‘‘jobs for the directors club’’ type attitudes that ruin what can be otherwise good businesses.

Often the bigger the board, the more constipated the decision-making process. The other scourge is chairmen roping in old mates and colleagues from other boards.

Ultimately, whether a separate and bigger Monetary Policy Board works will depend on who is on it. It was a logical and welcomed decision to create the separate board, and clear rate-setters of the governance-type matters that tend to dominate board meetings.

The review recommended a transparent appointment process, starting with advertised expressions of interest. External members would be appointed for five years, and up to another year depending on the circumstances.

There would also be fewer board meetings; eight not 11. And the governor would have to front the press following each meeting to explain the board’s decision, with more emphasis on the expected path of inflation and the labour market. That shouldn’t prove too onerous. External board members would also be required to make one public address each year.

The idea of more communication is conceptually good, although post-meeting press conferences can be a double-edged sword. We’ve seen Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell mix his messages in a live setting, which can leave the market with more questions than answers.

Fewer meetings mean more time between rates decisions and arguably more punting and reading the crystal ball for fixed income investors. There could be more focus on monthly/quarterly economic data, to fill the information void between meetings.

Market economists liked that there could be more briefings, as it should (in theory) help them with their forecasts. They also probably like that there would be an unattributed published vote after each policy decision.

Other parts of the review said RBA should work more closely with the government/ Treasury, although it remains to be seen how. The review said fiscal and monetary policy should be set separately, however the RBA and Treasury needed to ‘‘have a good understanding of the intentions of the other and informs better policy choices’’. The two institutions are already close, but the review said their co-operation should include increased information sharing on risks, scenarios and policy constraints, and some joint scenario analysis.

Lowe was gracious at his press conference, although it was clear he did not love all the recommendations. For example, he bristled at any notion rates decisions were his alone and thinks it’s important to be careful with the number of public messages out of the RBA to ensure consistency and stability.

Lowe said he would leave his reappointment to the RBA top job in the Treasurer’s hands. He said he would be happy to go around for another term if asked. If not, he said he would find another way to contribute to society.

The fact that the RBA was subject to a 294-page review and there were 51 recommendations suggests change is on the cards.

Next week’s CPI reading could be material to the situation. Economists are tipping a number just shy of 7 per cent.

For all the focus on Lowe, in the near term the real attention should be on Chalmers and the budget. That’s the real showstopper for the economy.

a.macdonald@afr.com 

RBA change is coming, like it or not2023-04-24T16:53:10+10:00

Financial Planning Message – December 2022

As 2022 draws to a close we are reminded of the recent period of intense volatility in capital markets and the reality that a global recession is likely next year.

 

Markets are pricing in a lower probability of a recession in Australia.

 

This in turn will depress corporate earnings and valuations across all asset classes and significantly increase default rates among high-risk borrowers.

 

The correction to valuations is likely to be more severe during this economic cycle due to valuations starting from elevated levels compared to previous corrections.

 

We are also yet to experience a high number of fixed loans move from fixed interest rates of sub 2% to levels of 5%+ prevailing rates, something in the order of $500bn are due to mature in mid to late 2023.

 

This will no doubt impact the already depressed property market in Australia.

 

All the major banks and APRA are keeping a close eye on this development as we progress into 2023.

 

As inflationary pressures persist ( highest in 40 years ), geopolitical tensions and tight labour supply, the  central banks are forced to aggressively press on with higher interest rates and keep for much longer.

 

The RBA has so far moved the cash rate from .1% in March 2022 to now 3.1%, markets are now pricing in another two .25% increases in early 2023 before a potential pause to evaluate the impact on inflation.

 

The Federal Reserve was pricing in a rate increase of just 1% in December 2021, it is remarkable that their view now is that it is likely to peak at approximately 5.25%.

 

Consequently, 2023 is poised to exert added stress to highly leveraged borrowers, specifically those that have acquired property / equities in 2021 / 2022, are now in nil or negative equity positions.

 

It is worth noting that during this business cycle, we have had an explosion of companies that have become addicted to cheap debt, on the other hand, these same companies are not generating sufficient cashflow to support increased interest payments.

 

Clearly, there will be consolidation particularly in property related businesses in 2023.

 

There are no doubt significant headwinds for Australian households and the economy in general as we enter 2023.

 

Accordingly, extreme caution and sound strategies need to be implemented for the year ahead, including but not limited to :-

  • Be clear on what and who matters given the many conflicting sources of information and ‘investment opportunities’ across the media.
  • Understand your portfolio and position appropriately taking into account your forward plans and risk / return / management costs.
  • Review cashflows and eliminate unnecessary lifestyle costs in light of higher interest rates in 2023.
  • Let’s not forget managing your tax position, this is always relevant be it during your working life, in retirement ( with respect to investments) or as part of your estate plan.
  • Focus on what can be controlled / influenced as opposed to factors over which we have no control or influence.
  • Make incremental ‘dollar cost savings’ as opposed to taking a significant position when investing.
  • Diversification and history are our best friends, reflect and actively rebalance asset allocations.
  • Consider Dividend Reinvestment Plan ( DRP) in light of the attractive valuations.
  • Confirm borrowing / refinancing options well before due dates and explore potential savings across relevant lenders – competition appears to be intensifying across the major lenders.
  • Insurance is always important, however potentially critical during extreme business cycles as are likely to unfold in 2023. It is not desirable to execute forced sales at depressed values.

 

In closing, we would like to take this opportunity and thank you for placing trust in AMCO since inception 26 years ago and making our Integrated Wealth Management practice what it is today.

 

We are aware of the challenges you are facing during these uncertain times and are there to advise and navigate all matters with professional care and promptness.

 

It is vital that fundamental mistakes are prevented during these critical periods, hence the need for sound advice.

 

From the team at AMCO, we wish you and your loved ones good health, peace of mind and prosperity in the year ahead.

 

Merry Christmas.

 

 

Danny D. Mazevski 

Chartered Tax & Financial Adviser

FIPA   CTA  FTMA  MBA (Un.NSW/SYD)  Dip.FS   JP

Financial Planning Message – December 20222022-12-22T08:01:23+11:00